(International observer) Sudan elections who can conquer _ Please focus Sudan News reference Edition

From April 11 to start as early as 8, Sudan 1600 million voters will walk into the distribution in parts of 2.65 000 polling station to vote. This election is believed to be the world's most complex one, not only to elections to elect the next President, but also elected National Assembly 450 members in 25 States in the country's 24 Governors and members of the State legislature. In addition, Southern voters also elect the President of the southern autonomous Government and the southern part of the legislature. Because the votes total 1.5 billion, voting will last 3 days. This election is also considered to be held in Sudan for more than 20 years of the first multiparty democratic election, there were 69 parties, the result will have a far-reaching impact the country's political situation. Bashir has chosen former advantage Sudan after independence in 1956, respectively, in 1958, 1965, 1968 and 1986 held four times a multi-party parliamentary elections. Sudan President Bashir to power in 1989, 1993, served as President since October. In 1996, he held a one-party system was elected in the presidential election, and in 2000 won re-election in a presidential election. January 9, 2005, Sudan, ruling National Congress Party and the southern rebel organization Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) to sign the comprehensive peace agreement, the parties and activities held throughout the country to legalize, multiparty democratic elections and in southern Sudan, advocated the holding of a referendum. Both sides agreed in 2010-11 April elections, and in 2011, held a plebiscite in the southern region. Analysts believe that, in view of the current President Bashir's prestige and power, he in this election has clear advantages. In order to run smoothly, Bashir according to the national electoral demands resigned his long-term as the Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces. Khartoum political Research Center expert Harry des · Ahmed · Dalal Dr. Xinhua said the ruling from Bashir, Sudan rapid economic development, people's living standards. In addition, Bashir led by the National Congress Party is Sudan most powerful political parties, has a huge resource. While the opposition party and its candidates have distinct political ideas, the lack of appeal to the electorate. Second, the opposition leader most in favour of elections postponed to November, causing opposition candidates at a loss to focus their campaigns. Once again, the lack of human and financial resources of the opposition, will not be able to organize an effective publicity campaign. According to the Sudanese Centre for strategic research has recently published the results of opinion polls in northern Sudan, out of a total of twelve presidential candidate, Bashir was 81.2 per cent of the voters, and its main competitors, SPLA presidential candidate-Hill · Arman support rate only 5.8%, other 10 presidential candidates support rate is lower. Opposition factions split face-Bashir and leadership of the National Congress of the clear advantages of the opposition parties are Sudan hoped that with the SPLA forces contend with them, and with the SPLA to form the "power" Juba Forum. In January this year, the SPLA first announced the nomination of SPLA Northern Bureau Deputy Secretary Arman presidential candidate for its next session. Arman is the SPLA in very few come from one of the leaders in northern Sudan, SPLM Secretary-General Bagan · Hamon announced that if Arman winning the election, will "contribute to the full implementation of the peace and development". The SPLA launched Arman, Sudan other opposition parties have also launched their presidential candidate. Analysts noted that the opposition of the calculations allow the largest possible number of candidates to carve up votes, and strive to make the Bashir in the first round of the election less than half of the votes, so you must be the most successful 2 candidates in the second round of elections in the contend. At that time, the opposition may use street revolution means changing the negative situation. However, SPLA suddenly 31 March announced its withdrawal from the presidential election. There is speculation that the SPLA this intention may be withdrawn by Arman in return for guarantees of the National Congress party next year in southern Sudan to hold a referendum. However, the SPLA and the National Congress Party has categorically denied this claim. SPLA Vice President Gabriel g · Machar, SPLA made the decision because of the conflict in Darfur continues, as well as the election preparation phase there are some "irregularities". National Congress Party Deputy Chairman of Nafi ' indicates that the SPLA's withdrawal from the presidential election, because the SPLA has realized that it would fail in the election. SPLA withdraws from presidential elections, which led to the decision of the opposition camp split. Umma party, Umma party reform and renewal of the party and the Communist Party have announced boycott Sudan elections. However, democratic unification party announced boycott elections in 2 days after he announced the revocation of the decision and to continue to participate in the boycott of the election. Sudan National Electoral Committee to declare, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the election, the candidate withdraws from is 12 February, after this date announced its withdrawal from the electoral law is invalid. Analysts, SPLA withdraws from presidential election decided to split the opposition camp, no doubt has further increased the possibility of winning Bashir. (Finished)